Thursday 24 January 2013

Could NZDCAD be January's big short?



As the cross pair NZDCAD teeters on a multi-year high unbroken since 2008, this could present bounce traders with a golden opportunity to sell for the long term.

Not only is the resistance level synonymous with supply sentiment, as investors who are buying the Kiwi and selling the Canadian Dollar will inevitably want to realise profits and exit their position based on the logic that the bounce is 70% more likely than the break, but  other technical factors line up to support our decision to sell.

We also have an overlap of two Fibonacci extensions (1.272 and the 2.0 Fibonacci extension levels), which has given us a ‘Fibonacci extension cluster. We also have RSI divergence, giving us the extra clue that the strength between buyers and sellers is starting to tilt in favour of the bears.

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